Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 1.904938 2.180381 2.483343 2.841573 3.253966 3.714283 4.267700
2025-06-29 1.451558 1.813719 2.249582 2.814026 3.527558 4.402095 5.559244
2025-07-06 1.190148 1.577765 2.073575 2.756714 3.677524 4.881322 6.583810
2025-07-13 1.085610 1.511344 2.084098 2.915058 4.096873 5.727932 8.168167
2025-07-20 0.959541 1.392522 2.000591 2.922586 4.295660 6.281226 9.400023
2025-07-27 0.883159 1.330481 1.983472 3.013884 4.613874 7.027988 10.992460
2025-08-03 0.797585 1.242489 1.914899 3.014774 4.788297 7.569250 12.324766
2025-08-10 0.721205 1.158523 1.840869 2.994539 4.920738 8.050644 13.607930
2025-08-17 0.649634 1.073516 1.754654 2.942111 4.989885 8.429553 14.755080
2025-08-24 0.607350 1.031319 1.732160 2.990623 5.229788 9.113825 16.504633
2025-08-31 0.570111 0.993303 1.711862 3.038845 5.471213 9.821704 18.374864
2025-09-07 0.526756 0.940025 1.659501 3.023500 5.594398 10.326982 19.921967
2025-09-14 0.474048 0.868954 1.575990 2.956483 5.641407 10.747057 21.464957
2025-09-21 0.431214 0.812170 1.513857 2.925519 5.760173 11.332204 23.453337
2025-09-28 0.390315 0.754067 1.442140 2.865940 5.812399 11.788545 25.235433
2025-10-05 0.380350 0.754350 1.481542 3.030830 6.338853 13.270778 29.428247
2025-10-12 0.353998 0.718999 1.446656 3.038669 6.536370 14.087754 32.268145
2025-10-19 0.339037 0.705078 1.453160 3.133750 6.932810 15.383361 36.400162
2025-10-26 0.316575 0.672970 1.418351 3.134678 7.119159 16.233219 39.601604
2025-11-02 0.294393 0.639072 1.376048 3.113604 7.251782 16.975296 42.650276
2025-11-09 0.271646 0.601556 1.321921 3.059003 7.298241 17.518680 45.277719
2025-11-16 0.258991 0.585300 1.313246 3.109526 7.604248 18.730610 49.840472
2025-11-23 0.247264 0.569931 1.304917 3.159748 7.915670 19.996623 54.751041